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Add functionality to calculate the probability of a large outbreak (i.e. a branching process that fails to go extinct) following an initial introduction into the population, based on estimated values of R and k. This calculation was done for COVID under different introduction scenarios, and for different baseline assumptions (which could be drawn from epiparameter): https://cmmid.github.io/visualisations/new-outbreak-probability
Add functionality to calculate the probability of a large outbreak (i.e. a branching process that fails to go extinct) following an initial introduction into the population, based on estimated values of R and k. This calculation was done for COVID under different introduction scenarios, and for different baseline assumptions (which could be drawn from
epiparameter
): https://cmmid.github.io/visualisations/new-outbreak-probabilityThese functions could also be expanded to include multiple age groups and integration with
socialmixr
using previously developed methodology for outbreak probability in multiple groupsThe text was updated successfully, but these errors were encountered: